Movies

24th Screen Actors Guild Awards Predictions

Hello Geeks + Gamers! It’s time to continue on the journey of Awards Season coverage, and today we’re breaking down the 24th Screen Actors Guild Awards. Unlike the other guilds, such as Directors, Producers and Writers, the Screen Actors Guild Awards are the only ones to broadcast their ceremony on national television. The show goes live tonight at 8:00 PM EST on TBS and TNT, and will be hosted by Kristen Bell. As per usual, these predictions are only covering the film categories. For our first category, we’re kicking down the door with:

Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture:

Baby Driver

Dunkirk

Logan

War for the Planet of the Apes

Wonder Woman

A strong argument can be made in favor of Dunkirk, a World War II movie shot on location, with the bare minimum visual effects and with a large cast of extras. However, given the overall theme of this year’s Awards Season, I think this award belongs to Wonder Woman. It helps that the film recently won the Critics’ Choice Award for Best Action Movie, as did previous winners Mad Max: Fury Road and Hacksaw Ridge in 2016 and 2017 respectively. Moving on to the supporting categories, we have:

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role:

Mary J. Blige – Mudbound as Florence Jackson

Hong Chau – Downsizing as Ngoc Lan Tran

Holly Hunter – The Big Sick as Beth Gardner

Allison Janney – I, Tonya as LaVona Golden

Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird as Marion McPherson

For those of you who have been paying attention, so far Allison Janney has won both the Golden Globes and the Critics’ Choice Awards, and that’s only counting the televised ceremonies. In other words, if anyone else were to win this award, it would cause a major upset. An argument could be made in favor of Laurie Metcalf, but it’s safer to predict Janney to take home the prize. Moving on to the male counterpart, we have:

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role:

Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes as Bobby Riggs

Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project as Bobby Hicks

Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water as Giles

Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri as Officer Jason Dixon

Of all the televised award shows, this is surprisingly the first time I’ve seen Woody Harrelson nominated in this category. But while I’m happy to see him included in the conversation, the real struggle is between Sam Rockwell and Willem Dafoe. One of them is the champion of the major awards, while the other has the support of the critics circles. I have a good feeling that Rockwell’s adding another statue to his collection, as Dafoe’s momentum slowly fades. Three more categories to go, starting with:

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role:

Judi Dench – Victoria & Abdul as Queen Victoria

Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water as Elisa Esposito

Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri as Mildred Hayes

Margot Robbie – I, Tonya as Tonya Harding

Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird as Christine “Lady Bird” McPherson

Much like the Best Supporting Actor category, we have a situation in which one of these nominees is a champion of the televised ceremonies, while another has solid support from critics circles. I’m of course referring to Frances McDormand and Sally Hawkins. While I would love to see Hawkins win this award, ultimately it belongs to McDormand. Moving right along, we have:

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role:

Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name as Elio Perlman

James Franco – The Disaster Artist as Tommy Wiseau

Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out as Chris Washington

Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour as Winston Churchill

Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq. as Roman J. Israel

Once again, the frontrunners in this category are Gary Oldman, champion of the televised ceremonies, and Timothée Chalamet, a favorite among the critics circles. Following this pattern, you might assume that the easy guess would be Oldman winning the award, and that’s exactly the route I’m taking. That being said, it would be amazing if Chalamet managed to pull an upset. And now, it’s time to bookend this discussion with the main event:

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture:

The Big Sick

Get Out

Lady Bird

Mudbound

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This category is weird in terms of its effect on the Academy Awards. For example, some noticeable absences include The Shape of Water, The Post (which didn’t earn a single nomination), and Call Me by Your Name. On top of that, there’s only a 50/50 chance at most that the winner of this award will also win Best Picture. Having said that, all signs (no pun intended) point right to Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri winning the night.

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And there you have it; those were my predictions for the 24th Screen Actors Guild Awards. Now it’s your turn. Jump in the comment section and let me see your SAG predictions. Thank you as always for checking out GeeksandGamers.com, your source for all thing Geek!

 

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