Box Office Breakdown for Weekend of 4/21/25
What’s up, Geeks + Gamers? It’s ODIN!
Sinners Knocks Minecraft Out of #1 Spot for Easter Weekend
After two solid weeks at the top of the box office, A Minecraft Movie has finally fallen to 2nd place against the brand new horror flick from Ryan Coogler and Michael B. Jordan, Sinners. Though it does not seem appropriate for the Easter Weekend, audiences clearly showed up to check it out nonetheless. With an opening domestic weekend of $48,007,468 and a global debut of $63,503,468, the roughly $100 million-budgeted film has started off better than many likely expected, though, with that budget, its chances of breaking even at the box office are still very much in the air. Needing to make between $250-$300 million after you account for likely marketing and the typical studio/theater splits, the chance of Sinners legging out that well does not seem likely. If the film has an average performance (as we remember that, on average, most films make out 30% of their entire box office in their global opening weekend), it will likely end its box office run around $180-$200 million. Though this is definitely not a guarantee, the movie still has a long way to go to reach profitability on the box office side of things. As Sinners currently has a solid 78% “Rad” score over on Criticless with about 39 current reviews, it is clear that many are walking away from the film with something positive to say.
According to the-numbers.com, the top 5 this weekend domestically were:
- Sinners ($48,007,468 as a new release)
- A Minecraft Movie (48% drop in 3rd weekend)
- The King of Kings (9% drop in 2nd weekend)
- The Amateur (53% drop in 2nd weekend)
- Warfare (42% drop in 2nd weekend)
A Minecraft Movie Begins to Slow, But Still Likely to Hit $1 Billion
Though A Minecraft Movie dropped to 2nd place domestically this weekend, it was still able to cross the $700 million mark after only three weekends at the box office. Even though the numbers from the weekend have since been adjusted down slightly, it does seem that the movie is starting to slow down a bit. Going into the weekend, it seemed that crossing $750 million would have been very likely. With current reporting from the-numbers showing $716,524,380 globally after initially showing over $720 million in the initial estimates, one does have to wonder if perhaps the movie is beginning to cool amongst its very young audience and if this could impact any long-term success. Even if it is slowing down, tracking still indicates that Minecraft reaching $1 billion is still on the table, and my charting currently projects roughly $110,103,409 in net profits so far after accounting for marketing and theater splits, as I had predicted was likely to happen this weekend. It is clear that whether it joins the billion-dollar club or not, A Minecraft Movie is already a massive success.
Drop Close to Profit While Warfare and The Amateur Likely to Lose Money
Rounding out the box office this week are a trio of films from last week that now have official projections after their 2nd weekend at the global box office. Starting with the low-budget horror film Drop, we can now project that the movie will make between $29,455,714 and $41,238,000 globally by the end of its run. With a budget of only $11 million, the movie is already on the brink of breaking even and making a decent amount of profit. We project between $1-$8 million in net profits by the time the movie leaves theaters.
Warfare and The Amateur don’t have nearly as positive an outlook as both films are struggling with budgets that are a bit bigger than they probably should have been. In the case of The Amateur, which had a budget of $60 million, we are projecting the film to make between $91,889,587 and $128,645,422 globally by the end of its run, which equates to a loss of roughly -$25 million. Though Warfare’s budget was half of The Amateur’s at only $30 million, the movie is still only expected to reach about $29,516,949 globally and lose over $10 million by the time it leaves theaters. Though both films could find a 2nd life on VOD, it is not looking too great for The Amateur while Warfare does have a shot to make some money, with most reviews for the film being very solid.
Check out my latest box office videos on my YouTube channel HERE!
If you want further analysis on these or any other films, check out the full charting I do over at my website. Have a wonderful rest of your day, and, as always, God bless!
(If you ever want further insight into my methodology, see my previous articles HERE and HERE and the RCC method I use to break down movies internationally HERE.)
***
Get a META PC today; use code “199” to save on all purchases!
If you want to know what kind of political leanings movies have or just talk about cinema, check out the movie ratings community Criticless.
Get Your Geeks + Gamers merch here!
